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M. Brunold vs C. A. Caniato prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. BrunoldC. A. Caniato
70.8 %29.2 %
Model favourite
M. Brunold
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · C. A. Caniato

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBiellaQuarter-finalclay13:35
M. Brunold
M. Brunold
vs
C. A. Caniato
C. A. Caniato
2024
Elo
1810
2034
Elo on clay
1827
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
8
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Brunold
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
C. A. Caniato
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
4 – 6
18 – 4
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
8 wins
Current streak
2 wins
26-12 (68%)
2026 record
15-16 (48%)
49-39 (56%)
Record on clay
19-23 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Brunold and C. A. Caniato, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Brunold comes in with an Elo of 2024, against 1810 for C. A. Caniato: a 213-point edge. On clay, the gap is 208 points in favour of M. Brunold. M. Brunold won 9 of the last ten matches, C. A. Caniato won 5. M. Brunold has 5 wins in the last five matches. C. A. Caniato has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Brunold the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. A. Caniato won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Brunold's last five matches

C. A. Caniato's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Brunold beat M. Giunta (6-3 1-6 7-5), then F. Forti (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, C. A. Caniato beat G. La Vela (6-4 6-3), then I. Almazan Valiente (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by S. Napolitano, who beat K. Feldbausch in the final (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Brunold wins 62 % (26 of 42), C. A. Caniato 38 % (9 of 24). In deciding sets, M. Brunold wins 46 % of the time (37 matches), C. A. Caniato 19 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, M. Brunold turned 10 % of matches around (48 occasions), C. A. Caniato 4 % (24 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Brunold went on to win 87 % of matches, C. A. Caniato 71 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Brunold – C. A. Caniato

Who is the favourite between M. Brunold and C. A. Caniato?
The match is over: C. A. Caniato won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Brunold winning at 71 %.
When is the M. Brunold – C. A. Caniato match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Biella tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Brunold and C. A. Caniato?
No meeting between M. Brunold and C. A. Caniato appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Brunold – C. A. Caniato?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Biella

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026