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A. Bolt vs L. Harris prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BoltL. Harris
18.0 %82.0 %
Model favourite
L. Harris
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. Harris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court13:10
A. Bolt
A. Bolt
vs
L. Harris
L. Harris
1947
Elo
2211
1909
Elo on hard court
2160
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
6
Recent matches
9
Even
Head-to-head
Even
5.00
Odds
1.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bolt
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Harris
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
17 – 5
3 wins
Current streak
4 wins
22-21 (51%)
2026 record
36-13 (73%)
83-81 (51%)
Record on hard court
101-59 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bolt and L. Harris, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Harris comes in with an Elo of 2211, against 1947 for A. Bolt: a 264-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 252 points in favour of L. Harris. A. Bolt won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Harris won 8. A. Bolt has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite.

The model gave L. Harris the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Harris won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Bolt's last five matches

L. Harris's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Bolt's first match of the tournament. This is L. Harris's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Bolt wins 56 % (61 of 109), L. Harris 44 % (52 of 119). In deciding sets, A. Bolt wins 49 % of the time (70 matches), L. Harris 62 % (68 matches). After losing the first set, A. Bolt turned 17 % of matches around (109 occasions), L. Harris 25 % (96 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Bolt went on to win 84 % of matches, L. Harris 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bolt – L. Harris

Who is the favourite between A. Bolt and L. Harris?
The match is over: L. Harris won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 5.00 for A. Bolt. Pronocast's model had L. Harris winning at 82 %.
When is the A. Bolt – L. Harris match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bolt and L. Harris?
No meeting between A. Bolt and L. Harris appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bolt – L. Harris?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026