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A. Zverev vs A. De Minaur prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has A. Zverev winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
A. Zverev
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiQuarter-finalhard court12:00
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
A. De Minaur
A. De Minaur

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. De Minaur
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
9 – 1
18 – 6
Sets won – lost
19 – 6
3 wins
Current streak
8 wins
61-15 (80%)
2026 record
41-18 (69%)
168-63 (73%)
Record on hard court
150-78 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and A. De Minaur, before this match.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Zverev leads 4 to 3

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat Y. Wu (6-4 7-6), then Q. Halys (6-4 6-7 6-3), then A. Bublik (7-6 4-6 7-6). To reach this round, A. De Minaur beat R. Sakamoto (7-6 6-4), then K. Khachanov (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (138 of 221), A. De Minaur 60 % (74 of 124). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 63 % of the time (120 matches), A. De Minaur 59 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), A. De Minaur 29 % (139 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, A. De Minaur 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – A. De Minaur

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and A. De Minaur?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has A. Zverev winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the A. Zverev – A. De Minaur match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 12:00, at the Shanghai tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and A. De Minaur?
Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 4 to 3 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – A. De Minaur?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026