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A. Charaeva vs S. Kartal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. CharaevaS. Kartal
37.1 %62.9 %
Model favourite
S. Kartal
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Charaeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court08:50
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
vs
S. Kartal
S. Kartal
2139
Elo
2259
1970
Elo on hard court
2184
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.50
Odds
1.52

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Charaeva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
S. Kartal
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
16 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
35-23 (60%)
2026 record
14-6 (70%)
21-20 (51%)
Record on hard court
33-19 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Charaeva and S. Kartal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Kartal comes in with an Elo of 2259, against 2139 for A. Charaeva: a 120-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 214 points in favour of S. Kartal. A. Charaeva won 6 of the last ten matches, S. Kartal won 7. A. Charaeva has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Kartal has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Kartal the favourite.

The model gave S. Kartal the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Charaeva won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

S. Kartal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Charaeva beat Y. Starodubtseva (5-7 7-5 6-2), then E. Rybakina (3-6 6-4 6-3). To reach this round, S. Kartal beat A. Lazaro Garcia (6-2 6-3), then Xin. Wang (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Charaeva wins 48 % (14 of 29), S. Kartal 40 % (8 of 20). In deciding sets, A. Charaeva wins 59 % of the time (34 matches), S. Kartal 45 % (33 matches). After losing the first set, A. Charaeva turned 29 % of matches around (51 occasions), S. Kartal 15 % (33 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Charaeva went on to win 87 % of matches, S. Kartal 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Charaeva – S. Kartal

Who is the favourite between A. Charaeva and S. Kartal?
The match is over: A. Charaeva won 2-0. Bookmakers make S. Kartal the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.50 for A. Charaeva. Pronocast's model had S. Kartal winning at 63 %.
When is the A. Charaeva – S. Kartal match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 08:50, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Charaeva and S. Kartal?
No meeting between A. Charaeva and S. Kartal appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Charaeva – S. Kartal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026