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E. Alexandrova vs M. Andreeva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. AlexandrovaM. Andreeva
25.5 %74.5 %
Model favourite
M. Andreeva
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Andreeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQuarter-finalhard court13:10
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
vs
M. Andreeva
M. Andreeva
2278
Elo
2447
2191
Elo on hard court
2315
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
3.59
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Alexandrova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Andreeva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
17 – 6
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
19-21 (48%)
2026 record
48-15 (76%)
106-79 (57%)
Record on hard court
75-33 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Alexandrova and M. Andreeva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Andreeva comes in with an Elo of 2447, against 2278 for E. Alexandrova: a 169-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 124 points in favour of M. Andreeva. E. Alexandrova won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Andreeva won 8. E. Alexandrova has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Andreeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Andreeva the favourite.

The model gave M. Andreeva the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Andreeva won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

M. Andreeva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Alexandrova beat A. Sasnovich (6-1 6-4), then D. Shnaider (3-6 6-4 6-3), then L. Noskova (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, M. Andreeva beat Y. Yuan (3-6 6-0 6-0), then P. Kudermetova (6-4 6-1), then D. Snigur (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Alexandrova wins 46 % (43 of 93), M. Andreeva 58 % (25 of 43). In deciding sets, E. Alexandrova wins 51 % of the time (97 matches), M. Andreeva 56 % (59 matches). After losing the first set, E. Alexandrova turned 21 % of matches around (119 occasions), M. Andreeva 38 % (61 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Alexandrova went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Andreeva 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Alexandrova – M. Andreeva

Who is the favourite between E. Alexandrova and M. Andreeva?
The match is over: M. Andreeva won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Andreeva the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.59 for E. Alexandrova. Pronocast's model had M. Andreeva winning at 74 %.
When is the E. Alexandrova – M. Andreeva match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Alexandrova and M. Andreeva?
Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Alexandrova – M. Andreeva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026