Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

A. De Minaur vs R. Sakamoto prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has A. De Minaur winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
A. De Minaur
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 32hard court07:30
A. De Minaur
A. De Minaur
vs
R. Sakamoto
R. Sakamoto

Community · Who wins?

No votes yet

Vote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. De Minaur
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
R. Sakamoto
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
6 wins
Current streak
4 wins
39-18 (68%)
2026 record
39-22 (64%)
148-78 (65%)
Record on hard court
66-45 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. De Minaur and R. Sakamoto, before this match.

Recent matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

R. Sakamoto's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. De Minaur's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, R. Sakamoto beat S. C. Hong (6-3 7-5), then K. Jacquet (7-6 4-6 7-6), then M. Trungelliti (6-3 7-5), then A. Rublev (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. De Minaur wins 59 % (73 of 123), R. Sakamoto 51 % (35 of 69). In deciding sets, A. De Minaur wins 59 % of the time (103 matches), R. Sakamoto 65 % (46 matches). After losing the first set, A. De Minaur turned 29 % of matches around (139 occasions), R. Sakamoto 26 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, A. De Minaur went on to win 88 % of matches, R. Sakamoto 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. De Minaur – R. Sakamoto

Who is the favourite between A. De Minaur and R. Sakamoto?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has A. De Minaur winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the A. De Minaur – R. Sakamoto match?
On Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 07:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. De Minaur and R. Sakamoto?
No meeting between A. De Minaur and R. Sakamoto appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. De Minaur – R. Sakamoto?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 October 2026

All matches on 11 October 2026