A. Donski vs A. Sanchez Quilez prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. DonskiA. Sanchez Quilez
30.3 %69.7 %
Model favourite
A. Sanchez Quilez
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Sanchez Quilez

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court12:05
A. Donski
A. Donski
vs
1812
Elo
1886
1761
Elo on hard court
1903
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.94
Odds
1.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Donski
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
A. Sanchez Quilez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
10 – 10
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
21-15 (58%)
2026 record
22-18 (55%)
20-18 (53%)
Record on hard court
11-9 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Donski and A. Sanchez Quilez, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sanchez Quilez comes in with an Elo of 1886, against 1812 for A. Donski: a 74-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 142 points in favour of A. Sanchez Quilez. A. Donski won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Sanchez Quilez won 7. A. Donski has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Sanchez Quilez has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Sanchez Quilez the favourite.

The model gave A. Sanchez Quilez the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Sanchez Quilez won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Donski's last five matches

A. Sanchez Quilez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Donski's first match of the tournament. This is A. Sanchez Quilez's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Donski wins 51 % (21 of 41), A. Sanchez Quilez 53 % (9 of 17). In deciding sets, A. Donski wins 51 % of the time (39 matches), A. Sanchez Quilez 71 % (14 matches). After losing the first set, A. Donski turned 25 % of matches around (48 occasions), A. Sanchez Quilez 22 % (36 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Donski went on to win 76 % of matches, A. Sanchez Quilez 92 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Donski – A. Sanchez Quilez

Who is the favourite between A. Donski and A. Sanchez Quilez?
The match is over: A. Sanchez Quilez won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Sanchez Quilez the favourite, priced at 1.35 against 2.94 for A. Donski. Pronocast's model had A. Sanchez Quilez winning at 70 %.
When is the A. Donski – A. Sanchez Quilez match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 12:05, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Donski and A. Sanchez Quilez?
No meeting between A. Donski and A. Sanchez Quilez appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Donski – A. Sanchez Quilez?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026