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H. Rocha vs I. Montes-De La Torre prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. RochaI. Montes-De La Torre
58.6 %41.4 %
Model favourite
H. Rocha
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · H. Rocha

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoFinalhard court12:10
H. Rocha
H. Rocha
vs
I. Montes-De La Torre
I. Montes-De La Torre
2054
Elo
1971
1975
Elo on hard court
1929
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
8
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Rocha
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
I. Montes-De La Torre
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
32-23 (58%)
2026 record
28-14 (67%)
31-22 (58%)
Record on hard court
48-27 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Rocha and I. Montes-De La Torre, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Rocha comes in with an Elo of 2054, against 1971 for I. Montes-De La Torre: a 82-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 47 points in favour of H. Rocha. H. Rocha won 7 of the last ten matches, I. Montes-De La Torre won 7. H. Rocha has 4 wins in the last five matches. I. Montes-De La Torre has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave H. Rocha the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Rocha won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Rocha's last five matches

I. Montes-De La Torre's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Rocha beat C. Cretu (7-5 6-3), then M. Poljicak (6-2 6-0), then A. Holmgren (6-3 7-6). To reach this round, I. Montes-De La Torre beat L. Potenza (6-3 6-2), then H. Grenier (6-2 7-6), then D. Jorda Sanchis (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Rocha wins 54 % (43 of 80), I. Montes-De La Torre 68 % (19 of 28). In deciding sets, H. Rocha wins 49 % of the time (63 matches), I. Montes-De La Torre 54 % (37 matches). After losing the first set, H. Rocha turned 15 % of matches around (95 occasions), I. Montes-De La Torre 23 % (52 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Rocha went on to win 82 % of matches, I. Montes-De La Torre 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Rocha – I. Montes-De La Torre

Who is the favourite between H. Rocha and I. Montes-De La Torre?
The match is over: H. Rocha won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had H. Rocha winning at 59 %.
When is the H. Rocha – I. Montes-De La Torre match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 12:10, at the Porto tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Rocha and I. Montes-De La Torre?
No meeting between H. Rocha and I. Montes-De La Torre appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Rocha – I. Montes-De La Torre?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026