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A. Gea vs A. Davidovich Fokina prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has A. Davidovich Fokina winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
A. Davidovich Fokina
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiQuarter-finalhard court08:30
A. Gea
A. Gea
vs
A. Davidovich Fokina
A. Davidovich Fokina

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Gea
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Davidovich Fokina
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
21 – 10
Sets won – lost
18 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
45-17 (73%)
2026 record
29-15 (66%)
38-27 (58%)
Record on hard court
96-80 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Gea and A. Davidovich Fokina, before this match.

Recent matches

A. Gea's last five matches

A. Davidovich Fokina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Gea beat J. Faria (6-7 6-1 6-2), then U. Humbert (6-4 3-6 6-1), then B. Shelton (7-6 7-6). To reach this round, A. Davidovich Fokina beat J. Brooksby (6-1 6-3), then F. Tiafoe (7-6 4-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Gea wins 56 % (35 of 63), A. Davidovich Fokina 45 % (63 of 140). In deciding sets, A. Gea wins 48 % of the time (64 matches), A. Davidovich Fokina 47 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, A. Gea turned 20 % of matches around (74 occasions), A. Davidovich Fokina 20 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Gea went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Davidovich Fokina 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Gea – A. Davidovich Fokina

Who is the favourite between A. Gea and A. Davidovich Fokina?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has A. Davidovich Fokina winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the A. Gea – A. Davidovich Fokina match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 08:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Gea and A. Davidovich Fokina?
No meeting between A. Gea and A. Davidovich Fokina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Gea – A. Davidovich Fokina?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026