A. Matusevich vs T. Cacao prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MatusevichT. Cacao
69.4 %30.6 %
Model favourite
A. Matusevich
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Matusevich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court17:00
vs
T. Cacao
T. Cacao
1922
Elo
1713
1885
Elo on hard court
1715
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.36
Odds
2.88

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Matusevich
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
T. Cacao
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
2 – 8
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
6 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
15-12 (56%)
2026 record
2-4 (33%)
12-9 (57%)
Record on hard court
0-1 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Matusevich and T. Cacao, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Matusevich comes in with an Elo of 1922, against 1713 for T. Cacao: a 208-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 170 points in favour of A. Matusevich. A. Matusevich won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Cacao won 6. A. Matusevich has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Cacao has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Matusevich the favourite.

The model gave A. Matusevich the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Matusevich won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Matusevich's last five matches

T. Cacao's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Matusevich's first match of the tournament. This is T. Cacao's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, A. Matusevich turned 18 % of matches around (28 occasions), T. Cacao 11 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Matusevich went on to win 70 % of matches, T. Cacao 70 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Matusevich – T. Cacao

Who is the favourite between A. Matusevich and T. Cacao?
The match is over: A. Matusevich won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Matusevich the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 2.88 for T. Cacao. Pronocast's model had A. Matusevich winning at 69 %.
When is the A. Matusevich – T. Cacao match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 17:00, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Matusevich and T. Cacao?
No meeting between A. Matusevich and T. Cacao appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Matusevich – T. Cacao?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026