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A. Sanchez Quilez vs J. Fearnley prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. Sanchez QuilezJ. Fearnley
23.3 %76.7 %
Model favourite
J. Fearnley
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. Fearnley

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court15:45
A. Sanchez Quilez
A. Sanchez Quilez
vs
J. Fearnley
J. Fearnley
1875
Elo
2130
1876
Elo on hard court
1991
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.60
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Sanchez Quilez
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
J. Fearnley
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
15 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
23-19 (55%)
2026 record
29-22 (57%)
12-10 (55%)
Record on hard court
62-37 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Sanchez Quilez and J. Fearnley, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Fearnley comes in with an Elo of 2130, against 1875 for A. Sanchez Quilez: a 255-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 115 points in favour of J. Fearnley. A. Sanchez Quilez won 6 of the last ten matches, J. Fearnley won 5. A. Sanchez Quilez has one win in the last five matches. J. Fearnley has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Fearnley the favourite.

The model gave J. Fearnley the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Fearnley won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Sanchez Quilez's last five matches

J. Fearnley's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Fearnley's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Sanchez Quilez wins 53 % (9 of 17), J. Fearnley 51 % (33 of 65). In deciding sets, A. Sanchez Quilez wins 69 % of the time (16 matches), J. Fearnley 71 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, A. Sanchez Quilez turned 22 % of matches around (37 occasions), J. Fearnley 32 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Sanchez Quilez went on to win 93 % of matches, J. Fearnley 96 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Sanchez Quilez – J. Fearnley

Who is the favourite between A. Sanchez Quilez and J. Fearnley?
The match is over: J. Fearnley won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Fearnley the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.60 for A. Sanchez Quilez. Pronocast's model had J. Fearnley winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Sanchez Quilez – J. Fearnley match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 15:45, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Sanchez Quilez and J. Fearnley?
No meeting between A. Sanchez Quilez and J. Fearnley appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Sanchez Quilez – J. Fearnley?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026