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R. Sakamoto vs A. Rublev prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has A. Rublev winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
A. Rublev
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court06:00
R. Sakamoto
R. Sakamoto
vs
A. Rublev
A. Rublev

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Sakamoto
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Rublev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 14
3 wins
Current streak
1 loss
38-22 (63%)
2026 record
33-19 (63%)
65-45 (59%)
Record on hard court
153-87 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Sakamoto and A. Rublev, before this match.

Recent matches

R. Sakamoto's last five matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Sakamoto beat S. C. Hong (6-3 7-5), then K. Jacquet (7-6 4-6 7-6), then M. Trungelliti (6-3 7-5). This is A. Rublev's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Sakamoto wins 51 % (35 of 69), A. Rublev 53 % (91 of 173). In deciding sets, R. Sakamoto wins 65 % of the time (46 matches), A. Rublev 60 % (115 matches). After losing the first set, R. Sakamoto turned 26 % of matches around (68 occasions), A. Rublev 31 % (142 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Sakamoto went on to win 89 % of matches, A. Rublev 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Sakamoto – A. Rublev

Who is the favourite between R. Sakamoto and A. Rublev?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has A. Rublev winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the R. Sakamoto – A. Rublev match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 06:00, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Sakamoto and A. Rublev?
No meeting between R. Sakamoto and A. Rublev appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Sakamoto – A. Rublev?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026