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Z. Bai vs K. Okamura prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Z. BaiK. Okamura
65.9 %34.1 %
Model favourite
Z. Bai
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · K. Okamura

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouQuarter-finalhard court04:00
Z. Bai
Z. Bai
vs
K. Okamura
K. Okamura
1969
Elo
1882
1953
Elo on hard court
1853
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Z. Bai
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
K. Okamura
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
2 wins
Current streak
4 wins
12-5 (71%)
2026 record
9-7 (56%)
22-16 (58%)
Record on hard court
27-24 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Z. Bai and K. Okamura, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Z. Bai comes in with an Elo of 1969, against 1882 for K. Okamura: a 87-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 100 points in favour of Z. Bai. Z. Bai won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Okamura won 8. Z. Bai has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Okamura has 4 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to Z. Bai. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave Z. Bai the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Okamura won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Z. Bai's last five matches

K. Okamura's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Z. Bai beat M. Uchijima (4-6 6-3 6-3), then E. Jones (1-6 6-3 7-6). To reach this round, K. Okamura beat P. M. Nugroho (6-3 7-6), then S. Wei (6-3 6-2), then D. Vidmanova (6-2 6-7 6-1), then T. Prozorova (6-4 3-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Z. Bai wins 68 % (13 of 19), K. Okamura 40 % (6 of 15). In deciding sets, Z. Bai wins 45 % of the time (22 matches), K. Okamura 55 % (20 matches). After losing the first set, Z. Bai turned 22 % of matches around (32 occasions), K. Okamura 12 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, Z. Bai went on to win 83 % of matches, K. Okamura 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Z. Bai – K. Okamura

Who is the favourite between Z. Bai and K. Okamura?
The match is over: K. Okamura won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had Z. Bai winning at 66 %.
When is the Z. Bai – K. Okamura match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Suzhou tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Z. Bai and K. Okamura?
No meeting between Z. Bai and K. Okamura appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Z. Bai – K. Okamura?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026