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A. Sasnovich vs T. Gibson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. SasnovichT. Gibson
47.2 %52.8 %
Model favourite
T. Gibson
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Sasnovich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 128hard court08:10
A. Sasnovich
A. Sasnovich
vs
T. Gibson
T. Gibson
2087
Elo
2119
2056
Elo on hard court
2112
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.05
Odds
1.78

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Sasnovich
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Gibson
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
28-22 (56%)
2026 record
22-23 (49%)
90-78 (54%)
Record on hard court
30-29 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Sasnovich and T. Gibson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Gibson comes in with an Elo of 2119, against 2087 for A. Sasnovich: a 32-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 56 points in favour of T. Gibson. A. Sasnovich won 5 of the last ten matches, T. Gibson won 5. A. Sasnovich has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Gibson has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Sasnovich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Gibson the favourite.

The model gave T. Gibson the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Sasnovich won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Sasnovich's last five matches

T. Gibson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Sasnovich leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Sasnovich beat J. Zhang (6-2 6-0), then V. Lepchenko (6-4 6-1). This is T. Gibson's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Sasnovich wins 44 % (33 of 75), T. Gibson 59 % (17 of 29). In deciding sets, A. Sasnovich wins 48 % of the time (97 matches), T. Gibson 44 % (43 matches). After losing the first set, A. Sasnovich turned 17 % of matches around (122 occasions), T. Gibson 13 % (40 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Sasnovich went on to win 83 % of matches, T. Gibson 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Sasnovich – T. Gibson

Who is the favourite between A. Sasnovich and T. Gibson?
The match is over: A. Sasnovich won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Gibson the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 2.05 for A. Sasnovich. Pronocast's model had T. Gibson winning at 53 %.
When is the A. Sasnovich – T. Gibson match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 08:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Sasnovich and T. Gibson?
Since 2020, A. Sasnovich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Sasnovich – T. Gibson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026