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A. Shevchenko vs Y. Nishioka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. ShevchenkoY. Nishioka
62.6 %37.4 %
Model favourite
A. Shevchenko
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · Y. Nishioka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court10:35
A. Shevchenko
A. Shevchenko
vs
Y. Nishioka
Y. Nishioka
1990
Elo
2070
1900
Elo on hard court
2022
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.45
Odds
2.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Shevchenko
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Nishioka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
10 – 18
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
25-30 (45%)
2026 record
1-4 (20%)
76-79 (49%)
Record on hard court
111-70 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Shevchenko and Y. Nishioka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Nishioka comes in with an Elo of 2070, against 1990 for A. Shevchenko: a 80-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 123 points in favour of Y. Nishioka. A. Shevchenko won 2 of the last ten matches, Y. Nishioka won 6. A. Shevchenko has one win in the last five matches. Y. Nishioka has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Shevchenko the favourite.

The model gave A. Shevchenko the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Nishioka won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Shevchenko's last five matches

Y. Nishioka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is A. Shevchenko's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Nishioka's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Shevchenko wins 54 % (71 of 132), Y. Nishioka 60 % (52 of 86). In deciding sets, A. Shevchenko wins 48 % of the time (111 matches), Y. Nishioka 62 % (78 matches). After losing the first set, A. Shevchenko turned 16 % of matches around (158 occasions), Y. Nishioka 25 % (103 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Shevchenko went on to win 83 % of matches, Y. Nishioka 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Shevchenko – Y. Nishioka

Who is the favourite between A. Shevchenko and Y. Nishioka?
The match is over: Y. Nishioka won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Shevchenko the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.56 for Y. Nishioka. Pronocast's model had A. Shevchenko winning at 63 %.
When is the A. Shevchenko – Y. Nishioka match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 10:35, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Shevchenko and Y. Nishioka?
Since 2020, Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Shevchenko – Y. Nishioka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026