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A. Tabilo vs P. Carreno-Busta prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has A. Tabilo winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
A. Tabilo
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court07:30
A. Tabilo
A. Tabilo
vs
P. Carreno-Busta
P. Carreno-Busta
1.57
Odds
2.38

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Tabilo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
P. Carreno-Busta
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 15
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
38-27 (58%)
2026 record
28-18 (61%)
78-61 (56%)
Record on hard court
75-52 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Tabilo and P. Carreno-Busta, before this match.

Recent matches

A. Tabilo's last five matches

P. Carreno-Busta's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

P. Carreno-Busta leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is A. Tabilo's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, P. Carreno-Busta beat M. Navone (4-6 7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Tabilo wins 48 % (68 of 141), P. Carreno-Busta 56 % (55 of 99). In deciding sets, A. Tabilo wins 53 % of the time (122 matches), P. Carreno-Busta 49 % (89 matches). After losing the first set, A. Tabilo turned 27 % of matches around (143 occasions), P. Carreno-Busta 23 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Tabilo went on to win 82 % of matches, P. Carreno-Busta 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Tabilo – P. Carreno-Busta

Who is the favourite between A. Tabilo and P. Carreno-Busta?
Bookmakers make A. Tabilo the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.38 for P. Carreno-Busta. Pronocast's model has A. Tabilo winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the A. Tabilo – P. Carreno-Busta match?
On Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 07:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Tabilo and P. Carreno-Busta?
Since 2020, P. Carreno-Busta leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Tabilo – P. Carreno-Busta?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 October 2026

All matches on 10 October 2026