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B. Bencic vs A. Li prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. BencicA. Li
69.9 %30.1 %
Model favourite
B. Bencic
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Li

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court09:35
B. Bencic
B. Bencic
vs
A. Li
A. Li
2414
Elo
2182
2340
Elo on hard court
2076
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.37
Odds
2.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Bencic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Li
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
28-11 (72%)
2026 record
23-23 (50%)
101-45 (69%)
Record on hard court
83-68 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Bencic and A. Li, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Bencic comes in with an Elo of 2414, against 2182 for A. Li: a 232-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 264 points in favour of B. Bencic. B. Bencic won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Li won 6. B. Bencic has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Li has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Li leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make B. Bencic the favourite.

The model gave B. Bencic the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Li won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Bencic's last five matches

A. Li's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Li leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Bencic beat A. Zakharova (6-1 7-6). To reach this round, A. Li beat A. Krueger (6-4 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Bencic wins 60 % (40 of 67), A. Li 48 % (29 of 61). In deciding sets, B. Bencic wins 61 % of the time (85 matches), A. Li 55 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, B. Bencic turned 36 % of matches around (76 occasions), A. Li 24 % (114 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Bencic went on to win 88 % of matches, A. Li 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Bencic – A. Li

Who is the favourite between B. Bencic and A. Li?
The match is over: A. Li won 2-0. Bookmakers make B. Bencic the favourite, priced at 1.37 against 2.99 for A. Li. Pronocast's model had B. Bencic winning at 70 %.
When is the B. Bencic – A. Li match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 09:35, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Bencic and A. Li?
Since 2020, A. Li leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Bencic – A. Li?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026