B. Ellis vs H. Moriya prediction

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1728 against 1716): nothing separates them in the model's rating. B. Ellis won 4 of the last ten matches, H. Moriya won 5. B. Ellis has 2 wins in the last five matches. H. Moriya has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to B. Ellis. Bookmakers make H. Moriya the favourite.

The model gave H. Moriya the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Ellis won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is B. Ellis's first match of the tournament. This is H. Moriya's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Ellis wins 59 % (26 of 44), H. Moriya 46 % (31 of 68). In deciding sets, B. Ellis wins 65 % of the time (34 matches), H. Moriya 45 % (75 matches). After losing the first set, B. Ellis turned 20 % of matches around (55 occasions), H. Moriya 14 % (127 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Ellis went on to win 85 % of matches, H. Moriya 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Ellis – H. Moriya

Who is the favourite between B. Ellis and H. Moriya?

The match is over: B. Ellis won 2-1. Bookmakers make H. Moriya the favourite, priced at 1.73 against 1.99 for B. Ellis. Pronocast's model had H. Moriya winning at 52 %.

When is the B. Ellis – H. Moriya match?

On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 06:40, at the Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).

What is the head-to-head between B. Ellis and H. Moriya?

No meeting between B. Ellis and H. Moriya appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Where can I see the prediction for B. Ellis – H. Moriya?

The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.