D. Parry vs P. Stearns prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. ParryP. Stearns
46.6 %53.4 %
Model favourite
P. Stearns
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · P. Stearns

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraRound of 16hard court01:20
D. Parry
D. Parry
vs
P. Stearns
P. Stearns
2193
Elo
2129
2081
Elo on hard court
2041
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.01
Odds
1.78

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Parry
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
P. Stearns
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
28-19 (60%)
2026 record
22-20 (52%)
54-61 (47%)
Record on hard court
53-61 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Parry and P. Stearns, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Parry comes in with an Elo of 2193, against 2129 for P. Stearns: a 63-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 40 points in favour of D. Parry. D. Parry won 8 of the last ten matches, P. Stearns won 4. D. Parry has 4 wins in the last five matches. P. Stearns has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite.

The model gave P. Stearns the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Stearns won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Parry's last five matches

P. Stearns's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Parry's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, P. Stearns beat E. Arango (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Parry wins 55 % (36 of 66), P. Stearns 51 % (27 of 53). In deciding sets, D. Parry wins 54 % of the time (82 matches), P. Stearns 43 % (72 matches). After losing the first set, D. Parry turned 20 % of matches around (115 occasions), P. Stearns 15 % (82 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Parry went on to win 82 % of matches, P. Stearns 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Parry – P. Stearns

Who is the favourite between D. Parry and P. Stearns?
The match is over: P. Stearns won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 2.01 for D. Parry. Pronocast's model had P. Stearns winning at 53 %.
When is the D. Parry – P. Stearns match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 01:20, at the Guadalajara tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Parry and P. Stearns?
No meeting between D. Parry and P. Stearns appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Parry – P. Stearns?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026