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M. Zheng vs E. Zhu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. ZhengE. Zhu
87.0 %13.0 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
87 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 32hard court01:15
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
vs
E. Zhu
E. Zhu
2201
Elo
1836
2135
Elo on hard court
1818
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
E. Zhu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
19 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
26-13 (67%)
2026 record
17-10 (63%)
57-26 (69%)
Record on hard court
60-69 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Zheng and E. Zhu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2201, against 1836 for E. Zhu: a 365-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 317 points in favour of M. Zheng. M. Zheng won 7 of the last ten matches, E. Zhu won 7. M. Zheng has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Zhu has 4 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to M. Zheng. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 87 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Zheng won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

E. Zhu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Zheng's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, E. Zhu beat F. Lechno-Wasiutynski (6-3 6-2), then O. Baris (6-4 4-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4). M. Zheng is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Zheng wins 40 % (12 of 30), E. Zhu 50 % (26 of 52). In deciding sets, M. Zheng wins 55 % of the time (29 matches), E. Zhu 61 % (61 matches). After losing the first set, M. Zheng turned 29 % of matches around (38 occasions), E. Zhu 15 % (79 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Zheng went on to win 90 % of matches, E. Zhu 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Zheng – E. Zhu

Who is the favourite between M. Zheng and E. Zhu?
The match is over: M. Zheng won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 87 %.
When is the M. Zheng – E. Zhu match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 01:15, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Zheng and E. Zhu?
No meeting between M. Zheng and E. Zhu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Zheng – E. Zhu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026