B. Harris vs D. Svrcina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

B. HarrisD. Svrcina

28.1 %71.9 %

Model favourite: D. Svrcina
Probability: 72 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · D. Svrcina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court10:10

B. Harris

D. Svrcina

1902
Elo: 2032; 1818
Elo on hard court: 1978; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 4; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 3.12
Odds: 1.32

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Harris

D. Svrcina

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 12 – 13
Sets won – lost: 15 – 12; 2 losses
Current streak: 2 losses; 19-31 (38%)
2026 record: 29-25 (54%); 104-91 (53%)
Record on hard court: 75-64 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Harris and D. Svrcina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Svrcina comes in with an Elo of 2032, against 1902 for B. Harris: a 130-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 160 points in favour of D. Svrcina. B. Harris won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Svrcina won 6. B. Harris has one win in the last five matches. D. Svrcina has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Svrcina the favourite.

The model gave D. Svrcina the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Svrcina won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Harris's last five matches

DF. BalshawMouilleron-Le-Captif 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20266-7 6-3 6-7
DM. CassoneSt. Tropez 2026 · Round of 16 · 24 September 20266-7 4-6
VN. Budkov KjaerSt. Tropez 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20263-6 6-3 7-5
DU. BlanchetRennes 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20265-7 6-7
DM. EcharguiCassis 2026 · Round of 16 · 10 September 20265-7 6-1 6-7

D. Svrcina's last five matches

DM. SharipovJingshan 2026 · Round of 32 · 30 September 20266-3 3-6 1-6
DR. HijikataHangzhou 2026 · Round of 32 · 24 September 20266-7 4-6
VR. NoguchiHangzhou 2026 · Qualifying · 23 September 20266-4 6-1
VP. SekulicHangzhou 2026 · Qualifying · 22 September 20266-3 6-2
DL. DarderiUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20263-6 7-6 4-6 4-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is B. Harris's first match of the tournament. This is D. Svrcina's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Harris wins 47 % (71 of 151), D. Svrcina 46 % (32 of 69). In deciding sets, B. Harris wins 53 % of the time (119 matches), D. Svrcina 52 % (96 matches). After losing the first set, B. Harris turned 20 % of matches around (165 occasions), D. Svrcina 18 % (134 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Harris went on to win 84 % of matches, D. Svrcina 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Harris – D. Svrcina

Who is the favourite between B. Harris and D. Svrcina?: The match is over: D. Svrcina won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Svrcina the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.12 for B. Harris. Pronocast's model had D. Svrcina winning at 72 %.
When is the B. Harris – D. Svrcina match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 10:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Harris and D. Svrcina?: No meeting between B. Harris and D. Svrcina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Harris – D. Svrcina?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions