B. Nakashima vs A. Ilagan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. NakashimaA. Ilagan
29.3 %70.7 %
Model favourite
A. Ilagan
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · B. Nakashima

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 32hard court21:55
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
vs
A. Ilagan
A. Ilagan
1823
Elo
1973
1810
Elo on hard court
1921
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
A. Ilagan
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
6 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
2-1 (67%)
2026 record
28-20 (58%)
3-4 (43%)
Record on hard court
73-62 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Nakashima and A. Ilagan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Ilagan comes in with an Elo of 1973, against 1823 for B. Nakashima: a 150-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 112 points in favour of A. Ilagan. B. Nakashima won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Ilagan won 7. B. Nakashima has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Ilagan has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Ilagan the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Nakashima won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

A. Ilagan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Nakashima beat K. Bigun (7-5 6-0), then Q. Vandecasteele (6-2 6-4). This is A. Ilagan's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about B. Nakashima – A. Ilagan

Who is the favourite between B. Nakashima and A. Ilagan?
The match is over: B. Nakashima won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Ilagan winning at 71 %.
When is the B. Nakashima – A. Ilagan match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 21:55, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Nakashima and A. Ilagan?
No meeting between B. Nakashima and A. Ilagan appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Nakashima – A. Ilagan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026