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M. Zheng vs M. Krueger prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. ZhengM. Krueger
90.9 %9.1 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
91 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQuarter-finalhard court22:40
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
vs
M. Krueger
M. Krueger
2206
Elo
1847
2141
Elo on hard court
1818
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.06
Odds
7.80

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Krueger
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
4 – 6
20 – 10
Sets won – lost
10 – 15
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
28-13 (68%)
2026 record
10-17 (37%)
59-26 (69%)
Record on hard court
118-118 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Zheng and M. Krueger, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2206, against 1847 for M. Krueger: a 358-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 323 points in favour of M. Zheng. M. Zheng won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Krueger won 5. M. Zheng has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Krueger has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 91 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Zheng won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

M. Krueger's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Zheng leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Zheng beat E. Zhu (6-1 4-6 7-5), then T. Svajda (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, M. Krueger beat K. Smith (7-6 6-7 6-4), then R. Seggerman (4-6 6-1 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4). M. Zheng is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Zheng wins 40 % (12 of 30), M. Krueger 39 % (52 of 132). In deciding sets, M. Zheng wins 57 % of the time (30 matches), M. Krueger 50 % (102 matches). After losing the first set, M. Zheng turned 29 % of matches around (38 occasions), M. Krueger 17 % (156 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Zheng went on to win 90 % of matches, M. Krueger 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Zheng – M. Krueger

Who is the favourite between M. Zheng and M. Krueger?
The match is over: M. Zheng won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.06 against 7.80 for M. Krueger. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 91 %.
When is the M. Zheng – M. Krueger match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 22:40, at the Tiburon tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Zheng and M. Krueger?
Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Zheng – M. Krueger?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026