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M. Zheng vs Dar. Blanch prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. ZhengDar. Blanch
70.7 %29.3 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · Dar. Blanch

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonSemi-finalhard court23:10
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
vs
Dar. Blanch
Dar. Blanch
2220
Elo
1956
2159
Elo on hard court
1864
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.21

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Dar. Blanch
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
3 – 7
20 – 9
Sets won – lost
8 – 16
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
29-13 (69%)
2026 record
23-24 (49%)
60-26 (70%)
Record on hard court
25-27 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Zheng and Dar. Blanch, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2220, against 1956 for Dar. Blanch: a 264-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 295 points in favour of M. Zheng. M. Zheng won 8 of the last ten matches, Dar. Blanch won 3. M. Zheng has 4 wins in the last five matches. Dar. Blanch has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Dar. Blanch won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

Dar. Blanch's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Zheng beat E. Zhu (6-1 4-6 7-5), then M. Krueger (7-6 6-2), then T. Svajda (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, Dar. Blanch beat S. Kozlov (6-3 2-6 7-6), then F. A. Gomez (6-3 6-0), then B. Nakashima (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4). M. Zheng is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Zheng wins 42 % (13 of 31), Dar. Blanch 54 % (20 of 37). In deciding sets, M. Zheng wins 57 % of the time (30 matches), Dar. Blanch 44 % (34 matches). After losing the first set, M. Zheng turned 29 % of matches around (38 occasions), Dar. Blanch 15 % (47 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Zheng went on to win 90 % of matches, Dar. Blanch 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Zheng – Dar. Blanch

Who is the favourite between M. Zheng and Dar. Blanch?
The match is over: Dar. Blanch won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.21 for Dar. Blanch. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 71 %.
When is the M. Zheng – Dar. Blanch match?
On Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 23:10, at the Tiburon tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Zheng and Dar. Blanch?
No meeting between M. Zheng and Dar. Blanch appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Zheng – Dar. Blanch?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 19 September 2026

All matches on 19 September 2026