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C. Hernandez vs P. Nesterov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
C. HernandezP. Nesterov
18.7 %81.3 %
Model favourite
P. Nesterov
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · P. Nesterov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay17:30
C. Hernandez
C. Hernandez
vs
P. Nesterov
P. Nesterov
1646
Elo
1909
1691
Elo on clay
1875
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.44
Odds
1.17

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Hernandez
  1. L
P. Nesterov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
0 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
0 – 2
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
–
2026 record
26-15 (63%)
0-1 (0%)
Record on clay
32-24 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Hernandez and P. Nesterov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Nesterov comes in with an Elo of 1909, against 1646 for C. Hernandez: a 262-point edge. On clay, the gap is 184 points in favour of P. Nesterov. C. Hernandez won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Nesterov won 5. P. Nesterov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Nesterov the favourite.

The model gave P. Nesterov the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Nesterov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

C. Hernandez's last five matches

P. Nesterov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is C. Hernandez's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, P. Nesterov beat C. Chen (3-6 6-3 6-2), then H. Barton (3-6 6-4 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about C. Hernandez – P. Nesterov

Who is the favourite between C. Hernandez and P. Nesterov?
The match is over: P. Nesterov won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Nesterov the favourite, priced at 1.17 against 4.44 for C. Hernandez. Pronocast's model had P. Nesterov winning at 81 %.
When is the C. Hernandez – P. Nesterov match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 17:30, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between C. Hernandez and P. Nesterov?
No meeting between C. Hernandez and P. Nesterov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Hernandez – P. Nesterov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026