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M. Uchijima vs Z. Bai prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. UchijimaZ. Bai
40.8 %59.2 %
Model favourite
Z. Bai
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · Z. Bai

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court04:05
M. Uchijima
M. Uchijima
vs
Z. Bai
Z. Bai
1873
Elo
1939
1796
Elo on hard court
1924
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Uchijima
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
Z. Bai
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 9
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
26-23 (53%)
2026 record
10-5 (67%)
53-64 (45%)
Record on hard court
20-16 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Uchijima and Z. Bai, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Z. Bai comes in with an Elo of 1939, against 1873 for M. Uchijima: a 66-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 128 points in favour of Z. Bai. M. Uchijima won 3 of the last ten matches, Z. Bai won 6. M. Uchijima has one win in the last five matches. Z. Bai has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave Z. Bai the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Z. Bai won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Uchijima's last five matches

Z. Bai's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Uchijima's first match of the tournament. This is Z. Bai's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Uchijima wins 57 % (32 of 56), Z. Bai 67 % (12 of 18). In deciding sets, M. Uchijima wins 49 % of the time (67 matches), Z. Bai 40 % (20 matches). After losing the first set, M. Uchijima turned 18 % of matches around (110 occasions), Z. Bai 17 % (30 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Uchijima went on to win 89 % of matches, Z. Bai 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Uchijima – Z. Bai

Who is the favourite between M. Uchijima and Z. Bai?
The match is over: Z. Bai won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had Z. Bai winning at 59 %.
When is the M. Uchijima – Z. Bai match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 04:05, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Uchijima and Z. Bai?
No meeting between M. Uchijima and Z. Bai appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Uchijima – Z. Bai?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026