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M. Purcell vs F. Peliwo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. PurcellF. Peliwo
90.4 %9.6 %
Model favourite
M. Purcell
Probability
90 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · F. Peliwo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerWuning 3 (China) - QualificationRound of 3204:05
M. Purcell
M. Purcell
vs
F. Peliwo
F. Peliwo
2029
Elo
1614
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Purcell
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
F. Peliwo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
7-3 (70%)
2026 record
8-14 (36%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Purcell and F. Peliwo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Purcell comes in with an Elo of 2029, against 1614 for F. Peliwo: a 415-point edge. M. Purcell won 8 of the last ten matches, F. Peliwo won 7. M. Purcell has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Peliwo has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Purcell the win at 90 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Peliwo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Purcell's last five matches

F. Peliwo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Purcell beat J. De Cuyper (6-4 6-4). This is F. Peliwo's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Purcell wins 54 % (51 of 94), F. Peliwo 59 % (16 of 27). In deciding sets, M. Purcell wins 60 % of the time (77 matches), F. Peliwo 54 % (24 matches). After losing the first set, M. Purcell turned 25 % of matches around (102 occasions), F. Peliwo 9 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Purcell went on to win 85 % of matches, F. Peliwo 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Purcell – F. Peliwo

Who is the favourite between M. Purcell and F. Peliwo?
The match is over: F. Peliwo won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Purcell winning at 90 %.
When is the M. Purcell – F. Peliwo match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 04:05, at the Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Purcell and F. Peliwo?
No meeting between M. Purcell and F. Peliwo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Purcell – F. Peliwo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026