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D. Blanch vs M. Donald prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. BlanchM. Donald
53.6 %46.4 %
Model favourite
D. Blanch
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · D. Blanch

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationRound of 1616:05
D. Blanch
D. Blanch
vs
M. Donald
M. Donald
1824
Elo
1816
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Blanch
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Donald
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
30-22 (58%)
2026 record
13-11 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Blanch and M. Donald, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1824 against 1816): nothing separates them in the model's rating. D. Blanch won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Donald won 5. D. Blanch has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Donald has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave D. Blanch the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Blanch won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Blanch's last five matches

M. Donald's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Blanch beat S. Kopp (6-3 6-3). To reach this round, M. Donald beat G. Cadenasso (6-3 4-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, D. Blanch wins 39 % of the time (38 matches), M. Donald 50 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, D. Blanch turned 12 % of matches around (43 occasions), M. Donald 19 % (16 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Blanch went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Donald 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Blanch – M. Donald

Who is the favourite between D. Blanch and M. Donald?
The match is over: D. Blanch won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had D. Blanch winning at 54 %.
When is the D. Blanch – M. Donald match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 16:05, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between D. Blanch and M. Donald?
No meeting between D. Blanch and M. Donald appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Blanch – M. Donald?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026