M. Moeller vs D. Blanch prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. MoellerD. Blanch
58.4 %41.6 %
Model favourite
M. Moeller
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationQuarter-final13:35
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
vs
D. Blanch
D. Blanch
1952
Elo
1843
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.59
Odds
2.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Moeller
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Blanch
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
22-11 (67%)
2026 record
31-22 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Moeller and D. Blanch, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Moeller comes in with an Elo of 1952, against 1843 for D. Blanch: a 109-point edge. M. Moeller won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Blanch won 5. M. Moeller has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Blanch has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite.

The model gave M. Moeller the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

D. Blanch's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Moeller beat S. Travaglia (6-4 4-6 6-2), then F. Arnaboldi (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, D. Blanch beat S. Kopp (6-3 6-3), then M. Donald (6-3 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Moeller wins 69 % (24 of 35), D. Blanch 55 % (21 of 38). In deciding sets, M. Moeller wins 54 % of the time (37 matches), D. Blanch 39 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, M. Moeller turned 19 % of matches around (47 occasions), D. Blanch 12 % (43 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Moeller went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Blanch 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Moeller – D. Blanch

Who is the favourite between M. Moeller and D. Blanch?
The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite, priced at 1.59 against 2.18 for D. Blanch. Pronocast's model had M. Moeller winning at 58 %.
When is the M. Moeller – D. Blanch match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Quarter-final, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Moeller and D. Blanch?
No meeting between M. Moeller and D. Blanch appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Moeller – D. Blanch?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026