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M. Moeller vs L. Mikrut prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. MoellerL. Mikrut
28.9 %71.1 %
Model favourite
L. Mikrut
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Mikrut

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationSemi-final12:10
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
vs
L. Mikrut
L. Mikrut
1962
Elo
2049
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
6
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.06
Odds
1.40

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Moeller
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Mikrut
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
23-11 (68%)
2026 record
14-9 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Moeller and L. Mikrut, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Mikrut comes in with an Elo of 2049, against 1962 for M. Moeller: a 87-point edge. M. Moeller won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Mikrut won 7. M. Moeller has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Mikrut has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite.

The model gave L. Mikrut the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Mikrut won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

L. Mikrut's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Moeller beat S. Travaglia (6-4 4-6 6-2), then F. Arnaboldi (6-4 6-4), then D. Blanch (6-3 4-6 6-3). To reach this round, L. Mikrut beat F. Iannaccone (6-1 6-2), then K. Coppejans (6-1 6-1), then L. Neumayer (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Moeller wins 69 % (24 of 35), L. Mikrut 51 % (19 of 37). In deciding sets, M. Moeller wins 55 % of the time (38 matches), L. Mikrut 61 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, M. Moeller turned 19 % of matches around (47 occasions), L. Mikrut 30 % (53 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Moeller went on to win 87 % of matches, L. Mikrut 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Moeller – L. Mikrut

Who is the favourite between M. Moeller and L. Mikrut?
The match is over: L. Mikrut won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 3.06 for M. Moeller. Pronocast's model had L. Mikrut winning at 71 %.
When is the M. Moeller – L. Mikrut match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 12:10, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Semi-final, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Moeller and L. Mikrut?
Since 2020, L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Moeller – L. Mikrut?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026