D. Glinka vs G. Onclin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

D. GlinkaG. Onclin

58.1 %41.9 %

Model favourite: D. Glinka
Probability: 58 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · D. Glinka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay12:45

D. Glinka

G. Onclin

1929
Elo: 1951; 1781
Elo on clay: 1891; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 4
Recent matches: 2; Edge
Head-to-head: –; 1.64
Odds: 2.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Glinka

G. Onclin

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 10 – 13
Sets won – lost: 8 – 14; 2 losses
Current streak: 1 loss; 29-28 (51%)
2026 record: 25-19 (57%); 16-14 (53%)
Record on clay: 48-42 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Glinka and G. Onclin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Onclin comes in with an Elo of 1951, against 1929 for D. Glinka: a 22-point edge. On clay, the gap is 110 points in favour of G. Onclin. D. Glinka won 4 of the last ten matches, G. Onclin won 4. D. Glinka has 2 wins in the last five matches. G. Onclin has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Glinka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Glinka the favourite.

The model gave D. Glinka the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Glinka won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Glinka's last five matches

DH. BernetMouilleron-Le-Captif 2026 · Round of 32 · 30 September 20264-6 4-6
DD. PrizmicSt. Tropez 2026 · Quarter-final · 25 September 20266-7 5-7
VU. BlanchetSt. Tropez 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20266-4 3-6 6-4
VD. JadeSt. Tropez 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20266-3 7-5
DT. DroguetCassis 2026 · Quarter-final · 11 September 20266-4 3-6 2-6

G. Onclin's last five matches

DS. Gueymard WayenburgMouilleron-Le-Captif 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 September 20261-6 4-6
VD. AddedMouilleron-Le-Captif 2026 · Round of 32 · 28 September 20267-6 6-2
DJ. RodionovATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 18 September 20264-6 1-6
DR. PerotCassis 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20264-6 2-6
DV. SachkoUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20265-7 5-7

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Glinka leads 1 to 0

VG. OnclinOeiras 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 January 20265-7 7-6 6-4

Road through the tournament

This is D. Glinka's first match of the tournament. This is G. Onclin's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Glinka wins 52 % (29 of 56), G. Onclin 48 % (33 of 69). In deciding sets, D. Glinka wins 39 % of the time (57 matches), G. Onclin 57 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, D. Glinka turned 17 % of matches around (63 occasions), G. Onclin 18 % (97 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Glinka went on to win 78 % of matches, G. Onclin 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Glinka – G. Onclin

Who is the favourite between D. Glinka and G. Onclin?: The match is over: D. Glinka won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Glinka the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.14 for G. Onclin. Pronocast's model had D. Glinka winning at 58 %.
When is the D. Glinka – G. Onclin match?: On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 12:45, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between D. Glinka and G. Onclin?: Since 2020, D. Glinka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Glinka – G. Onclin?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions