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D. Martin vs A. Rybakov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. MartinA. Rybakov
24.8 %75.2 %
Model favourite
A. Rybakov
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Rybakov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court23:45
D. Martin
D. Martin
vs
A. Rybakov
A. Rybakov
1526
Elo
1727
1513
Elo on hard court
1641
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Martin
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Rybakov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
4 – 6
9 – 16
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
7-16 (30%)
2026 record
7-14 (33%)
14-30 (32%)
Record on hard court
52-52 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Martin and A. Rybakov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Rybakov comes in with an Elo of 1727, against 1526 for D. Martin: a 201-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 128 points in favour of A. Rybakov. D. Martin won 2 of the last ten matches, A. Rybakov won 4. D. Martin has one win in the last five matches. A. Rybakov has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Rybakov the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Rybakov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Martin's last five matches

A. Rybakov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Martin's first match of the tournament. This is A. Rybakov's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Martin wins 38 % (13 of 34), A. Rybakov 44 % (31 of 70). In deciding sets, D. Martin wins 31 % of the time (26 matches), A. Rybakov 50 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, D. Martin turned 12 % of matches around (43 occasions), A. Rybakov 25 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Martin went on to win 76 % of matches, A. Rybakov 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Martin – A. Rybakov

Who is the favourite between D. Martin and A. Rybakov?
The match is over: A. Rybakov won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Rybakov winning at 75 %.
When is the D. Martin – A. Rybakov match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 23:45, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Martin and A. Rybakov?
No meeting between D. Martin and A. Rybakov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Martin – A. Rybakov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026