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D. Sweeny vs T. Schoolkate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. SweenyT. Schoolkate
43.2 %56.8 %
Model favourite
T. Schoolkate
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · D. Sweeny

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court11:10
D. Sweeny
D. Sweeny
vs
T. Schoolkate
T. Schoolkate
1917
Elo
1986
1838
Elo on hard court
1936
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.22
Odds
1.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Sweeny
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
T. Schoolkate
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 17
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
25-25 (50%)
2026 record
31-26 (54%)
80-92 (47%)
Record on hard court
122-104 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Sweeny and T. Schoolkate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Schoolkate comes in with an Elo of 1986, against 1917 for D. Sweeny: a 69-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 98 points in favour of T. Schoolkate. D. Sweeny won 3 of the last ten matches, T. Schoolkate won 6. D. Sweeny has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Schoolkate has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Sweeny leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite.

The model gave T. Schoolkate the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Sweeny won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Sweeny's last five matches

T. Schoolkate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Sweeny leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is D. Sweeny's first match of the tournament. This is T. Schoolkate's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Sweeny wins 51 % (32 of 63), T. Schoolkate 48 % (73 of 152). In deciding sets, D. Sweeny wins 52 % of the time (61 matches), T. Schoolkate 58 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, D. Sweeny turned 20 % of matches around (115 occasions), T. Schoolkate 26 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Sweeny went on to win 80 % of matches, T. Schoolkate 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Sweeny – T. Schoolkate

Who is the favourite between D. Sweeny and T. Schoolkate?
The match is over: D. Sweeny won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite, priced at 1.59 against 2.22 for D. Sweeny. Pronocast's model had T. Schoolkate winning at 57 %.
When is the D. Sweeny – T. Schoolkate match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Sweeny and T. Schoolkate?
Since 2020, D. Sweeny leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Sweeny – T. Schoolkate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026