Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

D. Vekic vs I. Swiatek prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. VekicI. Swiatek
11.3 %88.7 %
Model favourite
I. Swiatek
Probability
89 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · I. Swiatek

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court05:10
D. Vekic
D. Vekic
vs
I. Swiatek
I. Swiatek
2119
Elo
2515
1971
Elo on hard court
2413
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
6.88
Odds
1.03

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Vekic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
I. Swiatek
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
8 – 2
11 – 16
Sets won – lost
17 – 5
1 win
Current streak
1 win
27-21 (56%)
2026 record
36-13 (73%)
75-71 (51%)
Record on hard court
183-47 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Vekic and I. Swiatek, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Swiatek comes in with an Elo of 2515, against 2119 for D. Vekic: a 397-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 442 points in favour of I. Swiatek. D. Vekic won 3 of the last ten matches, I. Swiatek won 8. D. Vekic has 2 wins in the last five matches. I. Swiatek has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, I. Swiatek leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make I. Swiatek the favourite.

The model gave I. Swiatek the win at 89 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Swiatek won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Vekic's last five matches

I. Swiatek's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

I. Swiatek leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Vekic beat L. Zhu (6-1 4-6 6-2). To reach this round, I. Swiatek beat X. Gao (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Vekic wins 44 % (34 of 77), I. Swiatek 60 % (35 of 58). In deciding sets, D. Vekic wins 50 % of the time (90 matches), I. Swiatek 63 % (83 matches). After losing the first set, D. Vekic turned 19 % of matches around (102 occasions), I. Swiatek 36 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Vekic went on to win 80 % of matches, I. Swiatek 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Vekic – I. Swiatek

Who is the favourite between D. Vekic and I. Swiatek?
The match is over: I. Swiatek won 2-1. Bookmakers make I. Swiatek the favourite, priced at 1.03 against 6.88 for D. Vekic. Pronocast's model had I. Swiatek winning at 89 %.
When is the D. Vekic – I. Swiatek match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 05:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Vekic and I. Swiatek?
Since 2020, I. Swiatek leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Vekic – I. Swiatek?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026