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E. Alexandrova vs D. Shnaider prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. AlexandrovaD. Shnaider
33.6 %66.4 %
Model favourite
D. Shnaider
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · E. Alexandrova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court07:00
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
vs
D. Shnaider
D. Shnaider
2229
Elo
2358
2140
Elo on hard court
2244
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.87
Odds
1.42

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Alexandrova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
D. Shnaider
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 6
1 win
Current streak
1 win
17-21 (45%)
2026 record
29-19 (60%)
104-79 (57%)
Record on hard court
80-57 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Alexandrova and D. Shnaider, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Shnaider comes in with an Elo of 2358, against 2229 for E. Alexandrova: a 129-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 105 points in favour of D. Shnaider. E. Alexandrova won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Shnaider won 7. E. Alexandrova has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Shnaider has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Shnaider the favourite.

The model gave D. Shnaider the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Alexandrova won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

D. Shnaider's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Alexandrova beat A. Sasnovich (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, D. Shnaider beat J. Tjen (6-0 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Alexandrova wins 46 % (43 of 93), D. Shnaider 54 % (32 of 59). In deciding sets, E. Alexandrova wins 50 % of the time (96 matches), D. Shnaider 54 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, E. Alexandrova turned 20 % of matches around (118 occasions), D. Shnaider 21 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Alexandrova went on to win 85 % of matches, D. Shnaider 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Alexandrova – D. Shnaider

Who is the favourite between E. Alexandrova and D. Shnaider?
The match is over: E. Alexandrova won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Shnaider the favourite, priced at 1.42 against 2.87 for E. Alexandrova. Pronocast's model had D. Shnaider winning at 66 %.
When is the E. Alexandrova – D. Shnaider match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 07:00, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Alexandrova and D. Shnaider?
Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Alexandrova – D. Shnaider?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026