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E. Butvilas vs M. Geerts prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. ButvilasM. Geerts
77.4 %22.6 %
Model favourite
E. Butvilas
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · E. Butvilas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court16:40
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
vs
M. Geerts
M. Geerts
1953
Elo
1855
1948
Elo on hard court
1850
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.20
Odds
4.04

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Butvilas
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Geerts
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
32-26 (55%)
2026 record
12-15 (44%)
60-44 (58%)
Record on hard court
83-81 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Butvilas and M. Geerts, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Butvilas comes in with an Elo of 1953, against 1855 for M. Geerts: a 98-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 97 points in favour of E. Butvilas. E. Butvilas won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Geerts won 6. E. Butvilas has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Geerts has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite.

The model gave E. Butvilas the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Butvilas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

M. Geerts's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is E. Butvilas's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Geerts beat V. Orlov (7-6 6-2), then J. Domingues (3-6 6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Butvilas wins 55 % (35 of 64), M. Geerts 48 % (59 of 124). In deciding sets, E. Butvilas wins 44 % of the time (77 matches), M. Geerts 44 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, E. Butvilas turned 20 % of matches around (79 occasions), M. Geerts 19 % (149 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Butvilas went on to win 77 % of matches, M. Geerts 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Butvilas – M. Geerts

Who is the favourite between E. Butvilas and M. Geerts?
The match is over: E. Butvilas won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite, priced at 1.20 against 4.04 for M. Geerts. Pronocast's model had E. Butvilas winning at 77 %.
When is the E. Butvilas – M. Geerts match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 16:40, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Butvilas and M. Geerts?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Butvilas – M. Geerts?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026