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E. Kalieva vs T. Korpatsch prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. KalievaT. Korpatsch
49.4 %50.6 %
Model favourite
T. Korpatsch
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · E. Kalieva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 16hard court04:05
E. Kalieva
E. Kalieva
vs
T. Korpatsch
T. Korpatsch
1972
Elo
2036
1918
Elo on hard court
1935
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.87
Odds
1.81

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Kalieva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
T. Korpatsch
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
26-21 (55%)
2026 record
25-21 (54%)
30-39 (43%)
Record on hard court
41-63 (39%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Kalieva and T. Korpatsch, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Korpatsch comes in with an Elo of 2036, against 1972 for E. Kalieva: a 64-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 17 points in favour of T. Korpatsch. E. Kalieva won 5 of the last ten matches, T. Korpatsch won 5. E. Kalieva has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Korpatsch has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Korpatsch leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Korpatsch the favourite.

The model gave T. Korpatsch the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Kalieva won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Kalieva's last five matches

T. Korpatsch's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Korpatsch leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Kalieva beat Y. Ma (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, T. Korpatsch beat J. Lu (6-2 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Kalieva wins 53 % (16 of 30), T. Korpatsch 43 % (23 of 53). In deciding sets, E. Kalieva wins 53 % of the time (40 matches), T. Korpatsch 52 % (83 matches). After losing the first set, E. Kalieva turned 19 % of matches around (68 occasions), T. Korpatsch 19 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Kalieva went on to win 80 % of matches, T. Korpatsch 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Kalieva – T. Korpatsch

Who is the favourite between E. Kalieva and T. Korpatsch?
The match is over: E. Kalieva won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: E. Kalieva is priced at 1.87, T. Korpatsch at 1.81. Pronocast's model had T. Korpatsch winning at 51 %.
When is the E. Kalieva – T. Korpatsch match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 04:05, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Kalieva and T. Korpatsch?
Since 2020, T. Korpatsch leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Kalieva – T. Korpatsch?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026