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P. Kotov vs T. Griekspoor prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
P. KotovT. Griekspoor
35.1 %64.9 %
Model favourite
T. Griekspoor
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · P. Kotov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court06:10
P. Kotov
P. Kotov
vs
T. Griekspoor
T. Griekspoor
2044
Elo
2114
2052
Elo on hard court
2065
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.73
Odds
1.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Kotov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Griekspoor
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 16
2 wins
Current streak
2 losses
30-10 (75%)
2026 record
15-21 (42%)
99-75 (57%)
Record on hard court
81-74 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Kotov and T. Griekspoor, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Griekspoor comes in with an Elo of 2114, against 2044 for P. Kotov: a 70-point edge. P. Kotov won 7 of the last ten matches, T. Griekspoor won 4. P. Kotov has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Griekspoor has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make T. Griekspoor the favourite.

The model gave T. Griekspoor the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Kotov won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

P. Kotov's last five matches

T. Griekspoor's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Kotov beat M. Damm (7-6 6-7 6-3), then A. Vukic (6-3 6-3). This is T. Griekspoor's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Kotov wins 55 % (74 of 134), T. Griekspoor 55 % (109 of 197). In deciding sets, P. Kotov wins 55 % of the time (103 matches), T. Griekspoor 57 % (129 matches). After losing the first set, P. Kotov turned 24 % of matches around (139 occasions), T. Griekspoor 29 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Kotov went on to win 84 % of matches, T. Griekspoor 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Kotov – T. Griekspoor

Who is the favourite between P. Kotov and T. Griekspoor?
The match is over: P. Kotov won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Griekspoor the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.73 for P. Kotov. Pronocast's model had T. Griekspoor winning at 65 %.
When is the P. Kotov – T. Griekspoor match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Kotov and T. Griekspoor?
Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Kotov – T. Griekspoor?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026