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F. Balshaw vs J. J. Schwaerzler prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. BalshawJ. J. Schwaerzler
50.4 %49.6 %
Model favourite
F. Balshaw
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · J. J. Schwaerzler

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay12:35
F. Balshaw
F. Balshaw
vs
J. J. Schwaerzler
J. J. Schwaerzler
2016
Elo
1926
1953
Elo on clay
1879
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.82
Odds
1.90

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Balshaw
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
J. J. Schwaerzler
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
28-14 (67%)
2026 record
32-26 (55%)
12-6 (67%)
Record on clay
59-51 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Balshaw and J. J. Schwaerzler, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Balshaw comes in with an Elo of 2016, against 1926 for J. J. Schwaerzler: a 90-point edge. On clay, the gap is 74 points in favour of F. Balshaw. F. Balshaw won 7 of the last ten matches, J. J. Schwaerzler won 5. F. Balshaw has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. J. Schwaerzler has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Balshaw the favourite.

The model gave F. Balshaw the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Balshaw's last five matches

J. J. Schwaerzler's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Balshaw's first match of the tournament. This is J. J. Schwaerzler's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Balshaw wins 64 % (14 of 22), J. J. Schwaerzler 60 % (31 of 52). In deciding sets, F. Balshaw wins 63 % of the time (19 matches), J. J. Schwaerzler 59 % (46 matches). After losing the first set, F. Balshaw turned 35 % of matches around (20 occasions), J. J. Schwaerzler 19 % (70 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Balshaw went on to win 88 % of matches, J. J. Schwaerzler 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Balshaw – J. J. Schwaerzler

Who is the favourite between F. Balshaw and J. J. Schwaerzler?
The match is over: J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: F. Balshaw is priced at 1.82, J. J. Schwaerzler at 1.90. Pronocast's model had F. Balshaw winning at 50 %.
When is the F. Balshaw – J. J. Schwaerzler match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 12:35, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Balshaw and J. J. Schwaerzler?
No meeting between F. Balshaw and J. J. Schwaerzler appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Balshaw – J. J. Schwaerzler?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026