F. Diaz Acosta vs D. E. Galan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. Diaz AcostaD. E. Galan
82.5 %17.5 %
Model favourite
F. Diaz Acosta
Probability
83 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. E. Galan

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinRound of 32clay17:15
vs
D. E. Galan
D. E. Galan
2192
Elo
1946
2201
Elo on clay
1904
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
6
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.16
Odds
4.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Diaz Acosta
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. E. Galan
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
19 – 6
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
5 wins
Current streak
1 loss
49-16 (75%)
2026 record
23-20 (53%)
158-78 (67%)
Record on clay
94-83 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Diaz Acosta and D. E. Galan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Diaz Acosta comes in with an Elo of 2192, against 1946 for D. E. Galan: a 246-point edge. On clay, the gap is 297 points in favour of F. Diaz Acosta. F. Diaz Acosta won 9 of the last ten matches, D. E. Galan won 6. F. Diaz Acosta has 5 wins in the last five matches. D. E. Galan has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Diaz Acosta leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite.

The model gave F. Diaz Acosta the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. E. Galan won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Diaz Acosta's last five matches

D. E. Galan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Diaz Acosta leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is F. Diaz Acosta's first match of the tournament. This is D. E. Galan's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Diaz Acosta wins 54 % (56 of 103), D. E. Galan 49 % (57 of 116). In deciding sets, F. Diaz Acosta wins 55 % of the time (102 matches), D. E. Galan 48 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, F. Diaz Acosta turned 30 % of matches around (108 occasions), D. E. Galan 18 % (131 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Diaz Acosta went on to win 82 % of matches, D. E. Galan 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Diaz Acosta – D. E. Galan

Who is the favourite between F. Diaz Acosta and D. E. Galan?
The match is over: D. E. Galan won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite, priced at 1.16 against 4.59 for D. E. Galan. Pronocast's model had F. Diaz Acosta winning at 83 %.
When is the F. Diaz Acosta – D. E. Galan match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 17:15, at the Szczecin tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Diaz Acosta and D. E. Galan?
Since 2020, F. Diaz Acosta leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Diaz Acosta – D. E. Galan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026