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F. Jorge vs X. Gao prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. JorgeX. Gao
42.0 %58.0 %
Model favourite
X. Gao
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · F. Jorge

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerCaldas da RainhaRound of 32hard court15:40
F. Jorge
F. Jorge
vs
X. Gao
X. Gao
1880
Elo
1943
1836
Elo on hard court
1931
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Jorge
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
X. Gao
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
7-9 (44%)
2026 record
4-8 (33%)
3-8 (27%)
Record on hard court
17-17 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Jorge and X. Gao, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

X. Gao comes in with an Elo of 1943, against 1880 for F. Jorge: a 64-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 95 points in favour of X. Gao. F. Jorge won 5 of the last ten matches, X. Gao won 6. F. Jorge has 2 wins in the last five matches. X. Gao has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to X. Gao. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave X. Gao the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Jorge won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Jorge's last five matches

X. Gao's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Jorge's first match of the tournament. This is X. Gao's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Iatcenko, who beat G. Knutson in the final (6-2 5-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, F. Jorge wins 42 % of the time (12 matches), X. Gao 48 % (27 matches). After losing the first set, F. Jorge turned 14 % of matches around (28 occasions), X. Gao 17 % (30 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Jorge went on to win 78 % of matches, X. Gao 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Jorge – X. Gao

Who is the favourite between F. Jorge and X. Gao?
The match is over: F. Jorge won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had X. Gao winning at 58 %.
When is the F. Jorge – X. Gao match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 15:40, at the Caldas da Rainha tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Jorge and X. Gao?
No meeting between F. Jorge and X. Gao appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Jorge – X. Gao?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Caldas da Rainha

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026