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F. Maestrelli vs A. Nagel prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. MaestrelliA. Nagel
71.6 %28.4 %
Model favourite
F. Maestrelli
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · F. Maestrelli

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 32hard court12:45
F. Maestrelli
F. Maestrelli
vs
A. Nagel
A. Nagel
1869
Elo
1745
1875
Elo on hard court
1749
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.29
Odds
3.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Maestrelli
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
A. Nagel
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
2 – 6
11 – 15
Sets won – lost
6 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
5 losses
15-24 (38%)
2026 record
1-5 (17%)
65-56 (54%)
Record on hard court
1-3 (25%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Maestrelli and A. Nagel, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Maestrelli comes in with an Elo of 1869, against 1745 for A. Nagel: a 125-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 126 points in favour of F. Maestrelli. F. Maestrelli won 3 of the last ten matches, A. Nagel won 7. F. Maestrelli has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Nagel has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Maestrelli the favourite.

The model gave F. Maestrelli the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Maestrelli won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Maestrelli's last five matches

A. Nagel's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Maestrelli's first match of the tournament. This is A. Nagel's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about F. Maestrelli – A. Nagel

Who is the favourite between F. Maestrelli and A. Nagel?
The match is over: F. Maestrelli won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Maestrelli the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.38 for A. Nagel. Pronocast's model had F. Maestrelli winning at 72 %.
When is the F. Maestrelli – A. Nagel match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 12:45, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Maestrelli and A. Nagel?
No meeting between F. Maestrelli and A. Nagel appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Maestrelli – A. Nagel?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026