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F. Meligeni Alves vs J. P. Varillas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. Meligeni AlvesJ. P. Varillas
43.3 %56.7 %
Model favourite
J. P. Varillas
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · F. Meligeni Alves

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaRound of 32clay18:50
F. Meligeni Alves
F. Meligeni Alves
vs
J. P. Varillas
J. P. Varillas
1934
Elo
1965
1976
Elo on clay
1948
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.14
Odds
1.63

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Meligeni Alves
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
J. P. Varillas
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
12-15 (44%)
2026 record
31-21 (60%)
127-94 (57%)
Record on clay
173-103 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Meligeni Alves and J. P. Varillas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. P. Varillas comes in with an Elo of 1965, against 1934 for F. Meligeni Alves: a 30-point edge. On clay, the gap is 28 points in favour of F. Meligeni Alves. F. Meligeni Alves won 5 of the last ten matches, J. P. Varillas won 7. F. Meligeni Alves has one win in the last five matches. J. P. Varillas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. P. Varillas the favourite.

The model gave J. P. Varillas the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Meligeni Alves's last five matches

J. P. Varillas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is F. Meligeni Alves's first match of the tournament. This is J. P. Varillas's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Meligeni Alves wins 59 % (65 of 111), J. P. Varillas 55 % (64 of 117). In deciding sets, F. Meligeni Alves wins 51 % of the time (93 matches), J. P. Varillas 59 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, F. Meligeni Alves turned 22 % of matches around (115 occasions), J. P. Varillas 20 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Meligeni Alves went on to win 80 % of matches, J. P. Varillas 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Meligeni Alves – J. P. Varillas

Who is the favourite between F. Meligeni Alves and J. P. Varillas?
The match is over: F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. P. Varillas the favourite, priced at 1.63 against 2.14 for F. Meligeni Alves. Pronocast's model had J. P. Varillas winning at 57 %.
When is the F. Meligeni Alves – J. P. Varillas match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 18:50, at the Antofagasta tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Meligeni Alves and J. P. Varillas?
Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Meligeni Alves – J. P. Varillas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026