F. Rocha vs L. Maxted prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. RochaL. Maxted
26.4 %73.6 %
Model favourite
L. Maxted
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Maxted

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court19:35
F. Rocha
F. Rocha
vs
LM
L. Maxted
1571
Elo
1773
1548
Elo on hard court
1730
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.20
Odds
1.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Rocha
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
L. Maxted
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
5 – 5
4 – 17
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
8 losses
Current streak
2 losses
0-6 (0%)
2026 record
8-8 (50%)
3-4 (43%)
Record on hard court
9-11 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Rocha and L. Maxted, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Maxted comes in with an Elo of 1773, against 1571 for F. Rocha: a 202-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 182 points in favour of L. Maxted. F. Rocha won 3 of the last ten matches, L. Maxted won 5. F. Rocha has no win in the last five matches. L. Maxted has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Maxted the favourite.

The model gave L. Maxted the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Maxted won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Rocha's last five matches

L. Maxted's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Rocha's first match of the tournament. This is L. Maxted's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, F. Rocha went on to win 64 % of matches, L. Maxted 72 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Rocha – L. Maxted

Who is the favourite between F. Rocha and L. Maxted?
The match is over: L. Maxted won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Maxted the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.20 for F. Rocha. Pronocast's model had L. Maxted winning at 74 %.
When is the F. Rocha – L. Maxted match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 19:35, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Rocha and L. Maxted?
No meeting between F. Rocha and L. Maxted appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Rocha – L. Maxted?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026