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F. Roncadelli vs T. Barrios Vera prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. RoncadelliT. Barrios Vera
30.1 %69.9 %
Model favourite
T. Barrios Vera
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · T. Barrios Vera

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaRound of 32clay16:50
F. Roncadelli
F. Roncadelli
vs
T. Barrios Vera
T. Barrios Vera
1859
Elo
1990
1870
Elo on clay
1936
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.91
Odds
1.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Roncadelli
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
T. Barrios Vera
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
27-20 (57%)
2026 record
25-27 (48%)
59-55 (52%)
Record on clay
156-102 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Roncadelli and T. Barrios Vera, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Barrios Vera comes in with an Elo of 1990, against 1859 for F. Roncadelli: a 131-point edge. On clay, the gap is 67 points in favour of T. Barrios Vera. F. Roncadelli won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Barrios Vera won 6. F. Roncadelli has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Barrios Vera has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Barrios Vera leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Barrios Vera the favourite.

The model gave T. Barrios Vera the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Barrios Vera won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Roncadelli's last five matches

T. Barrios Vera's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Barrios Vera leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is F. Roncadelli's first match of the tournament. This is T. Barrios Vera's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Roncadelli wins 56 % (15 of 27), T. Barrios Vera 59 % (72 of 122). In deciding sets, F. Roncadelli wins 56 % of the time (39 matches), T. Barrios Vera 54 % (119 matches). After losing the first set, F. Roncadelli turned 22 % of matches around (69 occasions), T. Barrios Vera 18 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Roncadelli went on to win 88 % of matches, T. Barrios Vera 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Roncadelli – T. Barrios Vera

Who is the favourite between F. Roncadelli and T. Barrios Vera?
The match is over: T. Barrios Vera won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Barrios Vera the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 2.91 for F. Roncadelli. Pronocast's model had T. Barrios Vera winning at 70 %.
When is the F. Roncadelli – T. Barrios Vera match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 16:50, at the Antofagasta tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Roncadelli and T. Barrios Vera?
Since 2020, T. Barrios Vera leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Roncadelli – T. Barrios Vera?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026