G. Cadenasso vs F. Moroni prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

G. CadenassoF. Moroni

72.0 %28.0 %

Model favourite: G. Cadenasso
Probability: 72 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · G. Cadenasso

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3212:45

G. Cadenasso

F. Moroni

1950
Elo: 1730; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 4; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.30
Odds: 3.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Cadenasso

F. Moroni

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 12 – 14
Sets won – lost: 12 – 14; 2 wins
Current streak: 2 wins; 14-13 (52%)
2026 record: 3-2 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Cadenasso and F. Moroni, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Cadenasso comes in with an Elo of 1950, against 1730 for F. Moroni: a 220-point edge. G. Cadenasso won 4 of the last ten matches, F. Moroni won 6. G. Cadenasso has 2 wins in the last five matches. F. Moroni has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Cadenasso the favourite.

The model gave G. Cadenasso the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Cadenasso won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Cadenasso's last five matches

VL. AngeliniBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 September 20265-7 6-3 6-0
VB. Sanchez MartinezBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20266-3 6-1
DM. DonaldGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20263-6 6-4 5-7
DF. FortiBiella 2026 · Round of 32 · 15 September 20261-6 5-7
DF. CinaWimbledon 2026 · Qualifying · 22 June 20263-6 2-6

F. Moroni's last five matches

VI. PariscaPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 5 October 20267-6 5-7 7-6
VA. Marti PujolrasPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20267-6 6-7 6-1
DF. AndaloroBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-7 6-1 3-6
VG. FerrariBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20264-6 6-3 6-1
DM. DhamneBarletta 2026 · Qualifying · 29 March 20261-6 3-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is G. Cadenasso's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, F. Moroni beat A. Marti Pujolras (7-6 6-7 6-1), then I. Parisca (7-6 5-7 7-6).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, G. Cadenasso wins 57 % of the time (21 matches), F. Moroni 67 % (12 matches). After losing the first set, G. Cadenasso turned 22 % of matches around (27 occasions), F. Moroni 42 % (12 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Cadenasso went on to win 79 % of matches, F. Moroni 70 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Cadenasso – F. Moroni

Who is the favourite between G. Cadenasso and F. Moroni?: The match is over: G. Cadenasso won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Cadenasso the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.26 for F. Moroni. Pronocast's model had G. Cadenasso winning at 72 %.
When is the G. Cadenasso – F. Moroni match?: On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 12:45, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between G. Cadenasso and F. Moroni?: No meeting between G. Cadenasso and F. Moroni appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Cadenasso – F. Moroni?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions