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G. Heide vs E. Ribeiro prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
G. HeideE. Ribeiro
82.9 %17.1 %
Model favourite
G. Heide
Probability
83 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · E. Ribeiro

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaRound of 16clay16:10
G. Heide
G. Heide
vs
E. Ribeiro
E. Ribeiro
2063
Elo
1789
2093
Elo on clay
1781
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.14
Odds
5.06

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Heide
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Ribeiro
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
39-21 (65%)
2026 record
20-21 (49%)
97-67 (59%)
Record on clay
51-64 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Heide and E. Ribeiro, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Heide comes in with an Elo of 2063, against 1789 for E. Ribeiro: a 273-point edge. On clay, the gap is 312 points in favour of G. Heide. G. Heide won 8 of the last ten matches, E. Ribeiro won 5. G. Heide has 4 wins in the last five matches. E. Ribeiro has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite.

The model gave G. Heide the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Ribeiro won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

G. Heide's last five matches

E. Ribeiro's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Heide beat M. Zeitune (6-3 1-6 6-4). To reach this round, E. Ribeiro beat S. Heredia (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Heide wins 57 % (35 of 61), E. Ribeiro 31 % (10 of 32). In deciding sets, G. Heide wins 44 % of the time (61 matches), E. Ribeiro 47 % (36 matches). After losing the first set, G. Heide turned 13 % of matches around (77 occasions), E. Ribeiro 11 % (66 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Heide went on to win 84 % of matches, E. Ribeiro 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Heide – E. Ribeiro

Who is the favourite between G. Heide and E. Ribeiro?
The match is over: E. Ribeiro won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 5.06 for E. Ribeiro. Pronocast's model had G. Heide winning at 83 %.
When is the G. Heide – E. Ribeiro match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 16:10, at the Antofagasta tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Heide and E. Ribeiro?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Heide – E. Ribeiro?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026