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H. Mayot vs M. Cassone prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Result not verified
H. MayotM. Cassone
60.8 %39.2 %
Model favourite
H. Mayot
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
H. Mayot

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 16hard court14:30
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
vs
M. Cassone
M. Cassone
1985
Elo
1933
1983
Elo on hard court
1902
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.60
Odds
2.42

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Mayot
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Cassone
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
17-14 (55%)
2026 record
16-17 (48%)
94-77 (55%)
Record on hard court
73-55 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Mayot and M. Cassone, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Mayot comes in with an Elo of 1985, against 1933 for M. Cassone: a 52-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 81 points in favour of H. Mayot. H. Mayot won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Cassone won 5. H. Mayot has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Cassone has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite.

The model gave H. Mayot the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Mayot won : prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

M. Cassone's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Mayot beat C. Tabur (7-6 1-6 6-4). To reach this round, M. Cassone beat I. Montes-De La Torre (6-3 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Mayot wins 43 % (39 of 91), M. Cassone 56 % (38 of 68). In deciding sets, H. Mayot wins 51 % of the time (81 matches), M. Cassone 48 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, H. Mayot turned 14 % of matches around (134 occasions), M. Cassone 17 % (69 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Mayot went on to win 89 % of matches, M. Cassone 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Mayot – M. Cassone

Who is the favourite between H. Mayot and M. Cassone?
The match is over: H. Mayot won. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.42 for M. Cassone. Pronocast's model had H. Mayot winning at 61 %.
When is the H. Mayot – M. Cassone match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 14:30, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Mayot and M. Cassone?
No meeting between H. Mayot and M. Cassone appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Mayot – M. Cassone?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026