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D. Rincon vs D. Jorda Sanchis prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. RinconD. Jorda Sanchis
69.3 %30.7 %
Model favourite
D. Rincon
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · D. Jorda Sanchis

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQuarter-finalhard court12:10
D. Rincon
D. Rincon
vs
D. Jorda Sanchis
D. Jorda Sanchis
1960
Elo
1868
1888
Elo on hard court
1649
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.30
Odds
2.81

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Rincon
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Jorda Sanchis
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
7 – 15
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
21-21 (50%)
2026 record
29-25 (54%)
30-34 (47%)
Record on hard court
26-38 (41%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Rincon and D. Jorda Sanchis, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Rincon comes in with an Elo of 1960, against 1868 for D. Jorda Sanchis: a 92-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 239 points in favour of D. Rincon. D. Rincon won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Jorda Sanchis won 3. D. Rincon has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Jorda Sanchis has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Jorda Sanchis leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite.

The model gave D. Rincon the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Jorda Sanchis won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Rincon's last five matches

D. Jorda Sanchis's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Jorda Sanchis leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Rincon beat F. Tabacco (6-1 6-1), then L. Djere (7-6 6-4). To reach this round, D. Jorda Sanchis beat G. Marques (6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Rincon wins 49 % (38 of 77), D. Jorda Sanchis 41 % (28 of 68). In deciding sets, D. Rincon wins 59 % of the time (82 matches), D. Jorda Sanchis 55 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, D. Rincon turned 21 % of matches around (123 occasions), D. Jorda Sanchis 20 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Rincon went on to win 83 % of matches, D. Jorda Sanchis 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Rincon – D. Jorda Sanchis

Who is the favourite between D. Rincon and D. Jorda Sanchis?
The match is over: D. Jorda Sanchis won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 2.81 for D. Jorda Sanchis. Pronocast's model had D. Rincon winning at 69 %.
When is the D. Rincon – D. Jorda Sanchis match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 12:10, at the Porto tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Rincon and D. Jorda Sanchis?
Since 2020, D. Jorda Sanchis leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Rincon – D. Jorda Sanchis?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026