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H. Stewart vs D. Rincon prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. StewartD. Rincon
36.5 %63.5 %
Model favourite
D. Rincon
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-0 · D. Rincon

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 32hard court12:10
H. Stewart
H. Stewart
vs
D. Rincon
D. Rincon
1854
Elo
1935
1818
Elo on hard court
1867
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.63
Odds
1.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Stewart
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
D. Rincon
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 15
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
16-10 (62%)
2026 record
19-19 (50%)
28-17 (62%)
Record on hard court
28-32 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Stewart and D. Rincon, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Rincon comes in with an Elo of 1935, against 1854 for H. Stewart: a 81-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 49 points in favour of D. Rincon. H. Stewart won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Rincon won 4. H. Stewart has one win in the last five matches. D. Rincon has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Rincon leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite.

The model gave D. Rincon the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Rincon won 0-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Stewart's last five matches

D. Rincon's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Rincon leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is H. Stewart's first match of the tournament. This is D. Rincon's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Stewart wins 43 % (12 of 28), D. Rincon 49 % (37 of 76). In deciding sets, H. Stewart wins 57 % of the time (23 matches), D. Rincon 59 % (81 matches). After losing the first set, H. Stewart turned 24 % of matches around (29 occasions), D. Rincon 21 % (122 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Stewart went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Rincon 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Stewart – D. Rincon

Who is the favourite between H. Stewart and D. Rincon?
The match is over: D. Rincon won 0-1. Bookmakers make D. Rincon the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.63 for H. Stewart. Pronocast's model had D. Rincon winning at 64 %.
When is the H. Stewart – D. Rincon match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 12:10, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Stewart and D. Rincon?
Since 2020, D. Rincon leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Stewart – D. Rincon?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026